1
27%
Home Win
3.66
X
27%
Draw
3.65
2
45%
Away Win
2.21
xG Home
0.99
xG Away
1.36
Over 2.5 Goals
42%
BTTS
47%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives South Africa an expected 1.0 goals and Cameroon an expected 1.4 goals. South Africa have a 27% win probability, draw stands at 27%, and Cameroon at 45%. The most likely exact scoreline is 0–1. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 58%.
Correct Score Predictions
0:1
12.9%
1:1
12.8%
0:0
9.5%
1:0
9.4%
0:2
8.8%
1:2
8.7%
2:1
6.4%
2:0
4.7%
2:2
4.3%
0:3
4%
1:3
4%
3:1
2.1%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Cameroon Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 45% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.22 |
| Market Odds | 2.36 |
Team Comparison
| South Africa | Cameroon | |
|---|---|---|
| 2 | League Position | 2 |
| 6 | Points | 7 |
| 67% | Win % | 67% |
| 1.67 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.33 |
| 1.33 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.67 |