Slovenia vs North Macedonia Prediction

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0 – 0
Most Likely Score
Tue, 29 Sep 2026 · UEFA Nations League
1 37%
Home Win 2.68
X 38%
Draw 2.65
2 25%
Away Win 4.03
xG Home 0.81
xG Away 0.60
Over 2.5 Goals 17%
BTTS 25%

Our Prediction

Our Poisson distribution model gives Slovenia an expected 0.8 goals and North Macedonia an expected 0.6 goals. Slovenia have a 37% win probability, draw stands at 38%, and North Macedonia at 25%. The most likely exact scoreline is 0–0. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 83%.

Correct Score Predictions

0:0 24.4%
1:0 19.8%
0:1 14.6%
1:1 11.9%
2:0 8%
2:1 4.8%
0:2 4.4%
1:2 3.6%
3:0 2.2%
2:2 1.4%
3:1 1.3%
0:3 0.9%

Detailed Analysis

Best Pick Draw
Probability 38%
Predicted Odds 2.63
Market Odds 2.8

Venue Form

Slovenia at Home
W0 D1 L0 (1 games)
0% win rate

Recent Form

Slovenia
D