1
41%
Home Win
2.46
X
45%
Draw
2.22
2
14%
Away Win
7.01
xG Home
0.70
xG Away
0.30
Over 2.5 Goals
8%
BTTS
13%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Senegal an expected 0.7 goals and Egypt an expected 0.3 goals. Senegal have a 41% win probability, draw stands at 45%, and Egypt at 14%. The most likely exact scoreline is 0–0. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 92%.
Correct Score Predictions
0:0
37%
1:0
25.7%
0:1
11.1%
2:0
8.9%
1:1
7.7%
2:1
2.7%
3:0
2.1%
0:2
1.7%
1:2
1.2%
3:1
0.6%
2:2
0.4%
4:0
0.4%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Senegal Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 45% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.22 |
| Market Odds | 2.36 |
Team Comparison
| Senegal | Egypt | |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | League Position | 1 |
| 7 | Points | 7 |
| 67% | Win % | 67% |
| 2.33 | Avg Goals Scored | 1 |
| 0.33 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.33 |
Head to Head
Senegal
1 : 0
Egypt
W
Egypt
1 : 0
Senegal
L
Senegal
0 : 0
Egypt
D