Senegal vs Egypt Prediction

1 – 0
Most Likely Score
Wed, 14 Jan 2026 · Africa Cup of Nations
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Score · Lineups · Live stats

1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ

xG Home 1.31
xG Away 0.97
Over 2.5 Goals 40%
BTTS 45%

Our Prediction

Our Poisson distribution model gives Senegal an expected 1.3 goals and Egypt an expected 1.0 goals. Senegal have a 44% win probability, draw stands at 28%, and Egypt at 28%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–0. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 60%.

Correct Score Predictions

1:0 13.5%
1:1 13%
0:0 10.3%
0:1 10%
2:0 8.8%
2:1 8.5%
1:2 6.3%
0:2 4.8%
2:2 4.1%
3:0 3.8%
3:1 3.7%
1:3 2%

Detailed Analysis

Best Pick Senegal Win
Probability 45%
Predicted Odds 2.22
Market Odds 2.36

Head to Head

29 Mar 2022 World Cup - Qualification Africa
Senegal 1 : 0 Egypt
W
25 Mar 2022 World Cup - Qualification Africa
Egypt 1 : 0 Senegal
L
06 Feb 2022 Africa Cup of Nations
Senegal 0 : 0 Egypt
D