1
37%
Home Win
2.69
X
43%
Draw
2.33
2
20%
Away Win
5.05
xG Home
0.70
xG Away
0.43
Over 2.5 Goals
10%
BTTS
17%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Senegal an expected 0.7 goals and Congo DR an expected 0.4 goals. Senegal have a 37% win probability, draw stands at 43%, and Congo DR at 20%. The most likely exact scoreline is 0–0. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 90%.
Correct Score Predictions
0:0
32.6%
1:0
22.7%
0:1
13.9%
1:1
9.6%
2:0
7.9%
2:1
3.4%
0:2
3%
1:2
2.1%
3:0
1.8%
3:1
0.8%
2:2
0.7%
0:3
0.4%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Senegal Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 45% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.22 |
| Market Odds | 2.36 |
Team Comparison
| Senegal | Congo DR | |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | League Position | 2 |
| 7 | Points | 7 |
| 67% | Win % | 67% |
| 2.33 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.67 |
| 0.33 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.33 |
Head to Head
Congo DR
2 : 3
Senegal
W
Senegal
1 : 1
Congo DR
D
Senegal
3 : 0
Congo DR
W