Senegal vs Botswana Prediction

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4 – 0
Most Likely Score
Tue, 23 Dec 2025 · Africa Cup of Nations
1 92%
Home Win 1.09
X 2%
Draw 56.82
2 0%
Away Win 100
xG Home 4.87
xG Away 0.30
Over 2.5 Goals 83%
BTTS 24%

Our Prediction

Our Poisson distribution model gives Senegal an expected 4.9 goals and Botswana an expected 0.3 goals. Senegal have a 92% win probability, draw stands at 2%, and Botswana at 0%. The most likely exact scoreline is 4–0. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 83%.

Correct Score Predictions

4:0 13.3%
3:0 11%
2:0 6.8%
4:1 4%
3:1 3.3%
1:0 2.8%
2:1 2%
1:1 0.8%
4:2 0.6%
0:0 0.6%
3:2 0.5%
2:2 0.3%

Detailed Analysis

Best Pick Senegal Win
Probability 33%
Predicted Odds 3.03
Market Odds 3.22

Team Comparison

Senegal Botswana
1 League Position 4
7 Points 0
67% Win % 0%
2.33 Avg Goals Scored 0
0.33 Avg Goals Conceded 2.33