1
46%
Home Win
2.18
X
22%
Draw
4.55
2
32%
Away Win
3.11
xG Home
1.92
xG Away
1.58
Over 2.5 Goals
68%
BTTS
68%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Sarpsborg 08 an expected 1.9 goals and Vålerenga an expected 1.6 goals. Sarpsborg 08 have a 46% win probability, draw stands at 22%, and Vålerenga at 32%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 68%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
9.2%
2:1
8.8%
1:2
7.3%
2:2
6.9%
1:0
5.8%
3:1
5.6%
2:0
5.6%
0:1
4.8%
3:2
4.4%
1:3
3.8%
0:2
3.8%
2:3
3.7%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Sarpsborg 08 Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 46% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.17 |
| Market Odds | 2.31 |
Team Comparison
| Sarpsborg 08 | Vålerenga | |
|---|---|---|
| 8 | League Position | 9 |
| 41 | Points | 41 |
| 37% | Win % | 40% |
| 1.6 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.63 |
| 1.67 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.77 |
Venue Form
Sarpsborg 08 at Home
W3
D0
L1
(4 games)
Vålerenga Away
W1
D0
L3
(4 games)
Recent Form
Sarpsborg 08
W
W
W
L
Vålerenga
W
L
L
L
