1
38%
Home Win
2.64
X
26%
Draw
3.8
2
36%
Away Win
2.79
xG Home
1.33
xG Away
1.29
Over 2.5 Goals
49%
BTTS
53%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Rizespor an expected 1.3 goals and Alanyaspor an expected 1.3 goals. Rizespor have a 38% win probability, draw stands at 26%, and Alanyaspor at 36%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 51%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
12.5%
1:0
9.7%
0:1
9.4%
2:1
8.3%
1:2
8%
0:0
7.3%
2:0
6.5%
0:2
6.1%
2:2
5.3%
3:1
3.7%
1:3
3.5%
3:0
2.9%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Rizespor Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 38% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.63 |
| Market Odds | 2.8 |
Team Comparison
| Rizespor | Alanyaspor | |
|---|---|---|
| 8 | League Position | 10 |
| 41 | Points | 37 |
| 29% | Win % | 21% |
| 1.35 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.21 |
| 1.53 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.21 |
Venue Form
Rizespor at Home
W1
D1
L0
(2 games)
Alanyaspor Away
W0
D1
L1
(2 games)
Recent Form
Rizespor
D
W
Alanyaspor
D
L
