1
78%
Home Win
1.28
X
16%
Draw
6.21
2
6%
Away Win
17.39
xG Home
2.16
xG Away
0.41
Over 2.5 Goals
47%
BTTS
30%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives River Plate an expected 2.2 goals and Urawa an expected 0.4 goals. River Plate have a 78% win probability, draw stands at 16%, and Urawa at 6%. The most likely exact scoreline is 2–0. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 53%.
Correct Score Predictions
2:0
17.8%
1:0
16.5%
3:0
12.8%
0:0
7.6%
2:1
7.3%
4:0
6.9%
1:1
6.8%
3:1
5.3%
0:1
3.1%
4:1
2.9%
2:2
1.5%
1:2
1.4%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | River Plate Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 33% |
| Predicted Odds | 3.03 |
| Market Odds | 3.22 |
Team Comparison
| River Plate | Urawa | |
|---|---|---|
| 3 | League Position | 4 |
| 4 | Points | 0 |
| 33% | Win % | 0% |
| 1 | Avg Goals Scored | 0.67 |
| 1 | Avg Goals Conceded | 3 |