1
4%
Home Win
22.68
X
10%
Draw
9.95
2
85%
Away Win
1.17
xG Home
0.58
xG Away
3.03
Over 2.5 Goals
70%
BTTS
42%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Rio Ave FC an expected 0.6 goals and Sporting CP an expected 3.0 goals. Rio Ave FC have a 4% win probability, draw stands at 10%, and Sporting CP at 85%. The most likely exact scoreline is 0–3. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 70%.
Correct Score Predictions
0:3
12.5%
0:2
12.4%
0:4
9.5%
0:1
8.2%
1:3
7.3%
1:2
7.2%
1:4
5.5%
1:1
4.8%
0:0
2.7%
2:3
2.1%
2:2
2.1%
2:4
1.6%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Sporting CP Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 85% |
| Predicted Odds | 1.18 |
| Market Odds | 1.25 |
Team Comparison
| Rio Ave FC | Sporting CP | |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | League Position | 2 |
| 36 | Points | 82 |
| 24% | Win % | 74% |
| 1.03 | Avg Goals Scored | 2.62 |
| 1.68 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.71 |
Venue Form
Rio Ave FC at Home
W0
D1
L2
(3 games)
Sporting CP Away
W1
D1
L0
(2 games)
Recent Form
Rio Ave FC
L
D
L
Sporting CP
W
D