Republic of Ireland vs Israel Prediction

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1 – 0
Most Likely Score
Sun, 04 Oct 2026 · UEFA Nations League
1 44%
Home Win 2.28
X 29%
Draw 3.49
2 27%
Away Win 3.64
xG Home 1.26
xG Away 0.93
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
BTTS 43%

Our Prediction

Our Poisson distribution model gives Republic of Ireland an expected 1.3 goals and Israel an expected 0.9 goals. Republic of Ireland have a 44% win probability, draw stands at 29%, and Israel at 27%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–0. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 62%.

Correct Score Predictions

1:0 14.1%
1:1 13.1%
0:0 11.2%
0:1 10.4%
2:0 8.9%
2:1 8.3%
1:2 6.1%
0:2 4.9%
2:2 3.9%
3:0 3.7%
3:1 3.5%
1:3 1.9%

Detailed Analysis

Best Pick Republic of Ireland Win
Probability 44%
Predicted Odds 2.27
Market Odds 2.42

Venue Form

Israel Away
W0 D0 L1 (1 games)
0% win rate

Recent Form

Israel
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