1
43%
Home Win
2.31
X
29%
Draw
3.41
2
27%
Away Win
3.66
xG Home
1.22
xG Away
0.90
Over 2.5 Goals
35%
BTTS
42%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Republic of Ireland an expected 1.2 goals and Austria an expected 0.9 goals. Republic of Ireland have a 43% win probability, draw stands at 29%, and Austria at 27%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–0. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 65%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:0
14.7%
1:1
13.2%
0:0
12.1%
0:1
10.9%
2:0
8.9%
2:1
8%
1:2
5.9%
0:2
4.9%
2:2
3.6%
3:0
3.6%
3:1
3.2%
1:3
1.8%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Republic of Ireland Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 43% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.33 |
| Market Odds | 2.47 |
