1
36%
Home Win
2.76
X
24%
Draw
4.12
2
39%
Away Win
2.53
xG Home
1.47
xG Away
1.54
Over 2.5 Goals
58%
BTTS
60%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Real Madrid an expected 1.5 goals and Inter an expected 1.5 goals. Real Madrid have a 36% win probability, draw stands at 24%, and Inter at 39%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 58%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
11.2%
1:2
8.6%
2:1
8.2%
0:1
7.6%
1:0
7.3%
2:2
6.3%
0:2
5.9%
2:0
5.3%
0:0
4.9%
1:3
4.4%
3:1
4%
2:3
3.2%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Inter Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 39% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.56 |
| Market Odds | 2.73 |
Team Comparison
| Real Madrid | Inter | |
|---|---|---|
| 9 | League Position | 10 |
| 15 | Points | 15 |
| 63% | Win % | 63% |
| 2.63 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.88 |
| 1.5 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.88 |
