1
93%
Home Win
1.07
X
4%
Draw
26.46
2
1%
Away Win
100
xG Home
3.92
xG Away
0.30
Over 2.5 Goals
77%
BTTS
25%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Real Madrid an expected 3.9 goals and CF Pachuca an expected 0.3 goals. Real Madrid have a 93% win probability, draw stands at 4%, and CF Pachuca at 1%. The most likely exact scoreline is 3–0. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 77%.
Correct Score Predictions
3:0
14.8%
4:0
14.5%
2:0
11.3%
1:0
5.8%
3:1
4.4%
4:1
4.3%
2:1
3.4%
1:1
1.7%
0:0
1.5%
3:2
0.7%
4:2
0.7%
2:2
0.5%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Real Madrid Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 45% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.22 |
| Market Odds | 2.36 |
Team Comparison
| Real Madrid | CF Pachuca | |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | League Position | 4 |
| 7 | Points | 0 |
| 67% | Win % | 0% |
| 2.33 | Avg Goals Scored | 0.67 |
| 0.67 | Avg Goals Conceded | 2.33 |
Head to Head
Real Madrid
3 : 0
CF Pachuca
W