Qarabağ FK vs CSKA Sofia Prediction

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1 – 1
Most Likely Score
Thu, 23 Jul 2026 · UEFA Europa League
1 46%
Home Win 2.19
X 26%
Draw 3.8
2 28%
Away Win 3.57
xG Home 1.45
xG Away 1.07
Over 2.5 Goals 46%
BTTS 50%

Our Prediction

Our Poisson distribution model gives Qarabağ FK an expected 1.4 goals and CSKA Sofia an expected 1.1 goals. Qarabağ FK have a 46% win probability, draw stands at 26%, and CSKA Sofia at 28%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 54%.

Correct Score Predictions

1:1 12.5%
1:0 11.6%
2:1 9%
0:1 8.6%
2:0 8.4%
0:0 8%
1:2 6.7%
2:2 4.8%
0:2 4.6%
3:1 4.4%
3:0 4.1%
1:3 2.4%

Detailed Analysis

Best Pick Qarabağ FK Win
Probability 45%
Predicted Odds 2.22
Market Odds 2.36

Venue Form

Qarabağ FK at Home
W1 D0 L0 (1 games)
100% win rate

Recent Form

Qarabağ FK
W

Head to Head

04 Jul 2023 Friendlies Clubs
CSKA Sofia 0 : 1 Qarabag
W
07 Jul 2021 Friendlies Clubs
CSKA Sofia 0 : 1 Qarabag
W