1
3%
Home Win
38.61
X
10%
Draw
10.32
2
88%
Away Win
1.14
xG Home
0.32
xG Away
2.76
Over 2.5 Goals
59%
BTTS
26%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Paraguay an expected 0.3 goals and France an expected 2.8 goals. Paraguay have a 3% win probability, draw stands at 10%, and France at 88%. The most likely exact scoreline is 0–2. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 59%.
Correct Score Predictions
0:2
17.5%
0:3
16.1%
0:1
12.7%
0:4
11.1%
1:2
5.6%
1:3
5.2%
0:0
4.6%
1:1
4.1%
1:4
3.6%
1:0
1.5%
2:2
0.9%
2:3
0.8%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | France Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 88% |
| Predicted Odds | 1.14 |
| Market Odds | 1.21 |
Team Comparison
| Paraguay | France | |
|---|---|---|
| 3 | League Position | 1 |
| 4 | Points | 9 |
| 33% | Win % | 100% |
| 0.67 | Avg Goals Scored | 3.33 |
| 1.33 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.67 |
