1
3%
Home Win
33.44
X
7%
Draw
14.84
2
89%
Away Win
1.13
xG Home
0.65
xG Away
3.73
Over 2.5 Goals
80%
BTTS
46%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Paraguay an expected 0.7 goals and Brazil an expected 3.7 goals. Paraguay have a 3% win probability, draw stands at 7%, and Brazil at 89%. The most likely exact scoreline is 0–3. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 80%.
Correct Score Predictions
0:3
10.8%
0:4
10.1%
0:2
8.7%
1:3
7.1%
1:4
6.6%
1:2
5.7%
0:1
4.7%
1:1
3%
2:3
2.3%
2:4
2.1%
2:2
1.9%
0:0
1.3%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Brazil Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 45% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.22 |
| Market Odds | 2.36 |
Team Comparison
| Paraguay | Brazil | |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | League Position | 2 |
| 0 | Points | 5 |
| 0% | Win % | 33% |
| 1 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.67 |
| 2.67 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.67 |
Head to Head
Brazil
4 : 0
Paraguay
L
Paraguay
0 : 2
Brazil
L
Brazil
0 : 0
Paraguay
D