Panama vs Jamaica Prediction

1 – 1
Most Likely Score
Tue, 24 Jun 2025 · CONCACAF Gold Cup
Open Match Centre
Score · Lineups · Live stats

1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ

xG Home 1.53
xG Away 1.13
Over 2.5 Goals 50%
BTTS 53%

Our Prediction

Our Poisson distribution model gives Panama an expected 1.5 goals and Jamaica an expected 1.1 goals. Panama have a 46% win probability, draw stands at 25%, and Jamaica at 28%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 50%.

Correct Score Predictions

1:1 12.1%
1:0 10.7%
2:1 9.2%
2:0 8.2%
0:1 7.9%
0:0 7%
1:2 6.9%
2:2 5.2%
3:1 4.7%
0:2 4.5%
3:0 4.2%
3:2 2.7%

Detailed Analysis

Best Pick Panama Win
Probability 45%
Predicted Odds 2.22
Market Odds 2.36

Head to Head

24 Mar 2024 CONCACAF Nations League
Panama 0 : 1 Jamaica
L
29 Jan 2022 World Cup - Qualification CONCACAF
Panama 3 : 2 Jamaica
W
05 Sep 2021 World Cup - Qualification CONCACAF
Jamaica 0 : 3 Panama
W