Panama vs Jamaica Prediction

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4 – 0
Most Likely Score
Tue, 24 Jun 2025 · CONCACAF Gold Cup
1 89%
Home Win 1.12
X 3%
Draw 35.09
2 1%
Away Win 90.09
xG Home 5.00
xG Away 0.65
Over 2.5 Goals 85%
BTTS 44%

Our Prediction

Our Poisson distribution model gives Panama an expected 5.0 goals and Jamaica an expected 0.7 goals. Panama have a 89% win probability, draw stands at 3%, and Jamaica at 1%. The most likely exact scoreline is 4–0. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 85%.

Correct Score Predictions

4:0 9.1%
3:0 7.3%
4:1 6%
3:1 4.8%
2:0 4.4%
2:1 2.9%
4:2 1.9%
1:0 1.8%
3:2 1.6%
1:1 1.1%
2:2 0.9%
4:3 0.4%

Detailed Analysis

Best Pick Panama Win
Probability 45%
Predicted Odds 2.22
Market Odds 2.36

Team Comparison

Panama Jamaica
1 League Position 3
9 Points 3
100% Win % 33%
3.33 Avg Goals Scored 1
1 Avg Goals Conceded 2

Head to Head

24 Mar 2024 CONCACAF Nations League
Panama 0 : 1 Jamaica
L
29 Jan 2022 World Cup - Qualification CONCACAF
Panama 3 : 2 Jamaica
W
05 Sep 2021 World Cup - Qualification CONCACAF
Jamaica 0 : 3 Panama
W