1
70%
Home Win
1.42
X
20%
Draw
4.99
2
10%
Away Win
10.31
xG Home
1.92
xG Away
0.55
Over 2.5 Goals
45%
BTTS
36%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Palmeiras an expected 1.9 goals and Al Ahly an expected 0.5 goals. Palmeiras have a 70% win probability, draw stands at 20%, and Al Ahly at 10%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–0. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 55%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:0
16.3%
2:0
15.6%
3:0
10%
1:1
8.9%
2:1
8.6%
0:0
8.5%
3:1
5.5%
4:0
4.8%
0:1
4.6%
4:1
2.6%
1:2
2.4%
2:2
2.3%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Palmeiras Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 45% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.22 |
| Market Odds | 2.36 |
Team Comparison
| Palmeiras | Al Ahly | |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | League Position | 4 |
| 5 | Points | 2 |
| 33% | Win % | 0% |
| 1.33 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.33 |
| 0.67 | Avg Goals Conceded | 2 |
Head to Head
Palmeiras
2 : 0
Al Ahly
W
Al Ahly
0 : 0
Palmeiras
D