Olympiakos Piraeus vs Panathinaikos Prediction

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1 – 0
Most Likely Score
Sun, 11 Oct 2026 · Super League 1
1 61%
Home Win 1.65
X 26%
Draw 3.8
2 13%
Away Win 7.67
xG Home 1.47
xG Away 0.52
Over 2.5 Goals 32%
BTTS 31%

Our Prediction

Our Poisson distribution model gives Olympiakos Piraeus an expected 1.5 goals and Panathinaikos an expected 0.5 goals. Olympiakos Piraeus have a 61% win probability, draw stands at 26%, and Panathinaikos at 13%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–0. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 68%.

Correct Score Predictions

1:0 20.1%
2:0 14.7%
0:0 13.7%
1:1 10.5%
2:1 7.7%
3:0 7.2%
0:1 7.1%
3:1 3.8%
1:2 2.7%
4:0 2.7%
2:2 2%
0:2 1.9%

Detailed Analysis

Best Pick Olympiakos Piraeus Win
Probability 61%
Predicted Odds 1.64
Market Odds 1.74

Team Comparison

Olympiakos Piraeus Panathinaikos
2 League Position 4
58 Points 49
65% Win % 54%
1.73 Avg Goals Scored 1.69
0.42 Avg Goals Conceded 1

Venue Form

Panathinaikos Away
W1 D0 L0 (1 games)
100% win rate

Recent Form

Panathinaikos
W