North Korea vs Uzbekistan Prediction

1 – 0
Most Likely Score
Wed, 13 Jan 2027 · Asian Cup
Open Match Centre
Score · Lineups · Live stats

1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ

xG Home 1.31
xG Away 0.97
Over 2.5 Goals 40%
BTTS 45%

Our Prediction

Our Poisson distribution model gives North Korea an expected 1.3 goals and Uzbekistan an expected 1.0 goals. North Korea have a 44% win probability, draw stands at 28%, and Uzbekistan at 28%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–0. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 60%.

Correct Score Predictions

1:0 13.5%
1:1 13%
0:0 10.3%
0:1 10%
2:0 8.8%
2:1 8.5%
1:2 6.3%
0:2 4.8%
2:2 4.1%
3:0 3.8%
3:1 3.7%
1:3 2%

Detailed Analysis

Best Pick Uzbekistan Win
Probability 50%
Predicted Odds 2
Market Odds 2.13

Head to Head

19 Nov 2024 World Cup - Qualification Asia
North Korea 0 : 1 Uzbekistan
L
05 Sep 2024 World Cup - Qualification Asia
Uzbekistan 1 : 0 North Korea
L
07 Jun 2019 Friendlies
Uzbekistan 4 : 0 North Korea
L