1
70%
Home Win
1.43
X
12%
Draw
8.03
2
16%
Away Win
6.44
xG Home
3.97
xG Away
2.04
Over 2.5 Goals
92%
BTTS
84%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Nigeria an expected 4.0 goals and Tunisia an expected 2.0 goals. Nigeria have a 70% win probability, draw stands at 12%, and Tunisia at 16%. The most likely exact scoreline is 3–2. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 92%.
Correct Score Predictions
3:2
5.3%
4:2
5.3%
3:1
5.2%
4:1
5.2%
2:2
4%
2:1
3.9%
3:3
3.6%
4:3
3.6%
2:3
2.7%
3:0
2.5%
4:0
2.5%
1:2
2%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Tunisia Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 45% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.22 |
| Market Odds | 2.36 |
Team Comparison
| Nigeria | Tunisia | |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | League Position | 2 |
| 9 | Points | 4 |
| 100% | Win % | 33% |
| 2.67 | Avg Goals Scored | 2 |
| 1.33 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.67 |
Head to Head
Nigeria
0 : 1
Tunisia
L
Nigeria
1 : 1
Tunisia
D
Tunisia
0 : 1
Nigeria
W