1
79%
Home Win
1.27
X
12%
Draw
8.28
2
9%
Away Win
11.66
xG Home
3.18
xG Away
1.02
Over 2.5 Goals
78%
BTTS
61%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Nigeria an expected 3.2 goals and Tanzania an expected 1.0 goals. Nigeria have a 79% win probability, draw stands at 12%, and Tanzania at 9%. The most likely exact scoreline is 3–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 78%.
Correct Score Predictions
3:1
8.2%
3:0
8%
2:1
7.7%
2:0
7.6%
4:1
6.5%
4:0
6.4%
1:1
4.9%
1:0
4.8%
3:2
4.2%
2:2
4%
4:2
3.3%
1:2
2.5%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Nigeria Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 33% |
| Predicted Odds | 3.03 |
| Market Odds | 3.22 |
Team Comparison
| Nigeria | Tanzania | |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | League Position | 3 |
| 9 | Points | 2 |
| 100% | Win % | 0% |
| 2.67 | Avg Goals Scored | 1 |
| 1.33 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.33 |