1
80%
Home Win
1.24
X
10%
Draw
10.37
2
8%
Away Win
12.55
xG Home
3.97
xG Away
1.36
Over 2.5 Goals
88%
BTTS
71%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Nigeria an expected 4.0 goals and Mozambique an expected 1.4 goals. Nigeria have a 80% win probability, draw stands at 10%, and Mozambique at 8%. The most likely exact scoreline is 3–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 88%.
Correct Score Predictions
3:1
6.9%
4:1
6.8%
2:1
5.2%
3:0
5%
4:0
5%
3:2
4.7%
4:2
4.6%
2:0
3.8%
2:2
3.5%
1:1
2.6%
3:3
2.1%
4:3
2.1%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Nigeria Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 45% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.22 |
| Market Odds | 2.36 |
Team Comparison
| Nigeria | Mozambique | |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | League Position | 3 |
| 9 | Points | 3 |
| 100% | Win % | 33% |
| 2.67 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.33 |
| 1.33 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.67 |
Head to Head
Mozambique
2 : 3
Nigeria
W
Nigeria
4 : 2
Mozambique
W