1
42%
Home Win
2.41
X
26%
Draw
3.88
2
33%
Away Win
3.07
xG Home
1.44
xG Away
1.24
Over 2.5 Goals
50%
BTTS
54%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Nashville SC an expected 1.4 goals and FC Cincinnati an expected 1.2 goals. Nashville SC have a 42% win probability, draw stands at 26%, and FC Cincinnati at 33%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 50%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
12.3%
1:0
9.9%
2:1
8.8%
0:1
8.5%
1:2
7.6%
2:0
7.1%
0:0
6.9%
2:2
5.5%
0:2
5.3%
3:1
4.2%
3:0
3.4%
1:3
3.1%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Nashville SC Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 42% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.38 |
| Market Odds | 2.53 |
Team Comparison
| Nashville SC | FC Cincinnati | |
|---|---|---|
| 6 | League Position | 2 |
| 54 | Points | 65 |
| 47% | Win % | 59% |
| 1.71 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.53 |
| 1.32 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.18 |
Venue Form
Nashville SC at Home
W3
D1
L0
(4 games)
FC Cincinnati Away
W1
D2
L0
(3 games)
Recent Form
Nashville SC
W
W
D
W
FC Cincinnati
D
W
D
