1
59%
Home Win
1.68
X
31%
Draw
3.2
2
9%
Away Win
10.76
xG Home
1.19
xG Away
0.30
Over 2.5 Goals
19%
BTTS
18%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Morocco an expected 1.2 goals and Mali an expected 0.3 goals. Morocco have a 59% win probability, draw stands at 31%, and Mali at 9%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–0. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 81%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:0
26.8%
0:0
22.5%
2:0
16%
1:1
8%
0:1
6.7%
3:0
6.3%
2:1
4.8%
3:1
1.9%
4:0
1.9%
1:2
1.2%
0:2
1%
2:2
0.7%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Morocco Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 50% |
| Predicted Odds | 2 |
| Market Odds | 2.13 |
Team Comparison
| Morocco | Mali | |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | League Position | 2 |
| 7 | Points | 3 |
| 67% | Win % | 0% |
| 2 | Avg Goals Scored | 0.67 |
| 0.33 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.67 |
Head to Head
Mali
0 : 2
Morocco
W
Mali
0 : 0
Morocco
D
Morocco
6 : 0
Mali
W