1
44%
Home Win
2.28
X
41%
Draw
2.42
2
15%
Away Win
6.75
xG Home
0.80
xG Away
0.34
Over 2.5 Goals
11%
BTTS
16%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Monterrey an expected 0.8 goals and Inter an expected 0.3 goals. Monterrey have a 44% win probability, draw stands at 41%, and Inter at 15%. The most likely exact scoreline is 0–0. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 89%.
Correct Score Predictions
0:0
31.9%
1:0
25.5%
0:1
10.9%
2:0
10.2%
1:1
8.7%
2:1
3.5%
3:0
2.7%
0:2
1.9%
1:2
1.5%
3:1
0.9%
2:2
0.6%
4:0
0.5%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Monterrey Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 33% |
| Predicted Odds | 3.03 |
| Market Odds | 3.22 |
Team Comparison
| Monterrey | Inter | |
|---|---|---|
| 2 | League Position | 1 |
| 5 | Points | 7 |
| 33% | Win % | 67% |
| 1.67 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.67 |
| 0.33 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.67 |