1
48%
Home Win
2.09
X
26%
Draw
3.78
2
26%
Away Win
3.89
xG Home
1.46
xG Away
0.99
Over 2.5 Goals
44%
BTTS
48%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Mirassol an expected 1.5 goals and Fluminense an expected 1.0 goals. Mirassol have a 48% win probability, draw stands at 26%, and Fluminense at 26%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–0. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 56%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:0
12.6%
1:1
12.5%
2:0
9.2%
2:1
9.1%
0:0
8.7%
0:1
8.6%
1:2
6.2%
2:2
4.5%
3:0
4.5%
3:1
4.4%
0:2
4.2%
3:2
2.2%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Fluminense Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 45% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.22 |
| Market Odds | 2.36 |
Team Comparison
| Mirassol | Fluminense | |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | League Position | 5 |
| 67 | Points | 64 |
| 47% | Win % | 50% |
| 1.66 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.32 |
| 1.03 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.03 |
Venue Form
Mirassol at Home
W1
D2
L0
(3 games)
Fluminense Away
W1
D0
L1
(2 games)
Recent Form
Mirassol
D
W
D
Fluminense
L
W
Head to Head
Fluminense
1 : 0
Mirassol
L
Mirassol
2 : 1
Fluminense
L