1
44%
Home Win
2.3
X
43%
Draw
2.33
2
13%
Away Win
7.42
xG Home
0.76
xG Away
0.30
Over 2.5 Goals
9%
BTTS
14%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Mexico an expected 0.8 goals and Jamaica an expected 0.3 goals. Mexico have a 44% win probability, draw stands at 43%, and Jamaica at 13%. The most likely exact scoreline is 0–0. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 91%.
Correct Score Predictions
0:0
34.6%
1:0
26.3%
0:1
10.4%
2:0
10%
1:1
7.9%
2:1
3%
3:0
2.5%
0:2
1.6%
1:2
1.2%
3:1
0.8%
4:0
0.5%
2:2
0.5%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Mexico Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 50% |
| Predicted Odds | 2 |
| Market Odds | 2.13 |
Team Comparison
| Mexico | Jamaica | |
|---|---|---|
| 3 | League Position | 4 |
| 4 | Points | 0 |
| 33% | Win % | 0% |
| 0.33 | Avg Goals Scored | 0.33 |
| 0.33 | Avg Goals Conceded | 2.33 |
Head to Head
Jamaica
0 : 3
Mexico
W
Mexico
2 : 2
Jamaica
D
Jamaica
1 : 1
Mexico
D