1
39%
Home Win
2.56
X
23%
Draw
4.32
2
38%
Away Win
2.65
xG Home
1.65
xG Away
1.62
Over 2.5 Goals
63%
BTTS
65%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Manchester City an expected 1.6 goals and Paris Saint Germain an expected 1.6 goals. Manchester City have a 39% win probability, draw stands at 23%, and Paris Saint Germain at 38%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 63%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
10.2%
2:1
8.4%
1:2
8.2%
2:2
6.8%
1:0
6.3%
0:1
6.2%
2:0
5.2%
0:2
5%
3:1
4.6%
1:3
4.4%
0:0
3.8%
3:2
3.7%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Manchester City Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 39% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.56 |
| Market Odds | 2.73 |
Team Comparison
| Manchester City | Paris Saint Germain | |
|---|---|---|
| 8 | League Position | 11 |
| 16 | Points | 14 |
| 63% | Win % | 50% |
| 1.88 | Avg Goals Scored | 2.63 |
| 1.13 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.38 |
Venue Form
Paris Saint Germain Away
W0
D1
L0
(1 games)
Recent Form
Paris Saint Germain
D
