1
51%
Home Win
1.96
X
35%
Draw
2.89
2
14%
Away Win
6.91
xG Home
1.04
xG Away
0.41
Over 2.5 Goals
18%
BTTS
22%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Manchester City an expected 1.0 goals and Al-Hilal Saudi FC an expected 0.4 goals. Manchester City have a 51% win probability, draw stands at 35%, and Al-Hilal Saudi FC at 14%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–0. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 82%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:0
24.4%
0:0
23.4%
2:0
12.7%
1:1
10%
0:1
9.6%
2:1
5.2%
3:0
4.4%
1:2
2.1%
0:2
2%
3:1
1.8%
4:0
1.1%
2:2
1.1%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Manchester City Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 45% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.22 |
| Market Odds | 2.36 |
Team Comparison
| Manchester City | Al-Hilal Saudi FC | |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | League Position | 2 |
| 9 | Points | 5 |
| 100% | Win % | 33% |
| 4.33 | Avg Goals Scored | 1 |
| 0.67 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.33 |