1
45%
Home Win
2.22
X
42%
Draw
2.38
2
13%
Away Win
7.64
xG Home
0.79
xG Away
0.30
Over 2.5 Goals
10%
BTTS
14%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Mali an expected 0.8 goals and Zambia an expected 0.3 goals. Mali have a 45% win probability, draw stands at 42%, and Zambia at 13%. The most likely exact scoreline is 0–0. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 90%.
Correct Score Predictions
0:0
33.5%
1:0
26.6%
2:0
10.6%
0:1
10%
1:1
8%
2:1
3.2%
3:0
2.8%
0:2
1.5%
1:2
1.2%
3:1
0.8%
4:0
0.6%
2:2
0.5%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Mali Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 50% |
| Predicted Odds | 2 |
| Market Odds | 2.13 |
Team Comparison
| Mali | Zambia | |
|---|---|---|
| 2 | League Position | 4 |
| 3 | Points | 2 |
| 0% | Win % | 0% |
| 0.67 | Avg Goals Scored | 0.33 |
| 0.67 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.33 |
Head to Head
Mali
1 : 0
Zambia
W
Zambia
0 : 0
Mali
D