Maccabi Tel Aviv vs Sheriff Tiraspol Prediction

1 – 1
Most Likely Score
Thu, 30 Jul 2026 · UEFA Europa League
Open Match Centre
Score · Lineups · Live stats

1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ

xG Home 1.45
xG Away 1.07
Over 2.5 Goals 46%
BTTS 50%

Our Prediction

Our Poisson distribution model gives Maccabi Tel Aviv an expected 1.4 goals and Sheriff Tiraspol an expected 1.1 goals. Maccabi Tel Aviv have a 46% win probability, draw stands at 26%, and Sheriff Tiraspol at 28%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 54%.

Correct Score Predictions

1:1 12.5%
1:0 11.6%
2:1 9%
0:1 8.6%
2:0 8.4%
0:0 8%
1:2 6.7%
2:2 4.8%
0:2 4.6%
3:1 4.4%
3:0 4.1%
1:3 2.4%

Detailed Analysis

Best Pick Maccabi Tel Aviv Win
Probability 45%
Predicted Odds 2.22
Market Odds 2.36

Venue Form

Maccabi Tel Aviv at Home
W1 D0 L0 (1 games)
100% win rate
Sheriff Tiraspol Away
W0 D0 L1 (1 games)
0% win rate

Recent Form

Maccabi Tel Aviv
W
Sheriff Tiraspol
L

Head to Head

23 Jul 2026 UEFA Europa League
Sheriff Tiraspol 0 : 5 Maccabi Tel Aviv
W