1
6%
Home Win
15.95
X
22%
Draw
4.49
2
71%
Away Win
1.4
xG Home
0.30
xG Away
1.65
Over 2.5 Goals
31%
BTTS
21%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Los Angeles FC an expected 0.3 goals and Flamengo an expected 1.6 goals. Los Angeles FC have a 6% win probability, draw stands at 22%, and Flamengo at 71%. The most likely exact scoreline is 0–1. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 69%.
Correct Score Predictions
0:1
23.5%
0:2
19.4%
0:0
14.3%
0:3
10.6%
1:1
7.1%
1:2
5.8%
0:4
4.4%
1:0
4.3%
1:3
3.2%
1:4
1.3%
2:1
1.1%
2:2
0.9%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Flamengo Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 50% |
| Predicted Odds | 2 |
| Market Odds | 2.13 |
Team Comparison
| Los Angeles FC | Flamengo | |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | League Position | 1 |
| 1 | Points | 7 |
| 0% | Win % | 67% |
| 0.33 | Avg Goals Scored | 2 |
| 1.33 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.67 |