1
26%
Home Win
3.87
X
56%
Draw
1.79
2
18%
Away Win
5.44
xG Home
0.40
xG Away
0.30
Over 2.5 Goals
3%
BTTS
9%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Los Angeles FC an expected 0.4 goals and ES Tunis an expected 0.3 goals. Los Angeles FC have a 26% win probability, draw stands at 56%, and ES Tunis at 18%. The most likely exact scoreline is 0–0. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 97%.
Correct Score Predictions
0:0
49.7%
1:0
19.9%
0:1
14.9%
1:1
6%
2:0
4%
0:2
2.2%
2:1
1.2%
1:2
0.9%
3:0
0.5%
0:3
0.2%
2:2
0.2%
3:1
0.2%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Los Angeles FC Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 33% |
| Predicted Odds | 3.03 |
| Market Odds | 3.22 |
Team Comparison
| Los Angeles FC | ES Tunis | |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | League Position | 3 |
| 1 | Points | 3 |
| 0% | Win % | 33% |
| 0.33 | Avg Goals Scored | 0.33 |
| 1.33 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.67 |