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Lillestrøm vs Plzen — Prediction

Lillestrøm Lillestrøm
1 – 1
Most likely score (model)
Thu, 05 Nov 2026 · Europa League
Open Match Centre
Score · Lineups · Live stats
Plzen Plzen

Match information

Scheduled
Kickoff
5 Nov 2026, 17:45 UTC
Competition
Europa League
Previous matches

All competitions; results strictly before this fixture. The recorded score may include extra time; shootout goals are not added.

Lillestrøm
  • Lillestrøm 0–0 Brann
  • Sandefjord 0–2 Lillestrøm
  • Viking 3–0 Lillestrøm
  • Lillestrøm 2–0 Vålerenga
  • Brann 1–2 Lillestrøm
Plzen
  • Baník Ostrava 0–4 Plzen
  • Plzen 1–2 Pardubice
  • FK Jablonec 2–3 Plzen
  • Slavia Praha 2–1 Plzen
  • Plzen 2–3 Sigma Olomouc
Model & data

Table-based model estimate

Matches in saved table: Lillestrøm 3 · Plzen 3. Data saved: 2026-11-04 06:30 UTC.

Table season: 2026

This Poisson estimate uses goals scored and conceded per game in the saved league table. Home advantage is 1.08; goal rates are limited to 0.3–5.0.

Model goal expectation is not measured shot-based xG. Injuries, confirmed lineups and live match state are not inputs to this calculation.

Assessment recorded before kickoff: Draw 39% · 2026-11-04 06:30 UTC.

An estimate is not a guarantee of the result.

Lineups, events, odds and statistics depend on provider coverage. Missing data is not a zero value.

1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ

Model goal expectation · 1 1.09
Model goal expectation · 2 1.20
Over 2.5 Goals 40%
BTTS 47%

Table-based model estimate

Model goal expectation: Lillestrøm 1.09 · Plzen 1.20.
1 33% · X 28% · 2 39%.

Correct Score Predictions

1:1 13.2%
0:1 12.1%
1:0 11%
0:0 10%
1:2 8%
0:2 7.3%
2:1 7.2%
2:0 6%
2:2 4.4%
1:3 3.2%
0:3 2.9%
3:1 2.6%

About this assessment

Model outcome Plzen Win
Probability 39%
Predicted Odds 2.56

Team Comparison

Lillestrøm Plzen
31 League Position 33
1 Points 0
0% Win % 0%
0.67 Avg Goals Scored 0.67
3 Avg Goals Conceded 2.33

Venue Form

Lillestrøm at Home
W1 D1 L0 (2 games)
50% win rate
Plzen Away
W2 D0 L1 (3 games)
67% win rate

Recent Form

Lillestrøm
D W L W W
Plzen
W L W L L

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