1
26%
Home Win
3.85
X
27%
Draw
3.64
2
47%
Away Win
2.15
xG Home
0.95
xG Away
1.37
Over 2.5 Goals
41%
BTTS
46%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives KV Mechelen an expected 0.9 goals and St. Truiden an expected 1.4 goals. KV Mechelen have a 26% win probability, draw stands at 27%, and St. Truiden at 47%. The most likely exact scoreline is 0–1. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 59%.
Correct Score Predictions
0:1
13.5%
1:1
12.8%
0:0
9.9%
1:0
9.4%
0:2
9.2%
1:2
8.7%
2:1
6.1%
2:0
4.4%
0:3
4.2%
2:2
4.1%
1:3
4%
3:1
1.9%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | St. Truiden Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 47% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.13 |
| Market Odds | 2.26 |
Team Comparison
| KV Mechelen | St. Truiden | |
|---|---|---|
| 6 | League Position | 3 |
| 29 | Points | 43 |
| 33% | Win % | 55% |
| 1.2 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.53 |
| 1.53 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.15 |
Venue Form
KV Mechelen at Home
W1
D1
L3
(5 games)
St. Truiden Away
W1
D1
L3
(5 games)
Recent Form
KV Mechelen
L
D
W
L
L
St. Truiden
L
L
W
D
L
