1
40%
Home Win
2.49
X
29%
Draw
3.5
2
31%
Away Win
3.2
xG Home
1.21
xG Away
1.04
Over 2.5 Goals
39%
BTTS
45%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives KV Mechelen an expected 1.2 goals and Anderlecht an expected 1.0 goals. KV Mechelen have a 40% win probability, draw stands at 29%, and Anderlecht at 31%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 61%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
13.3%
1:0
12.8%
0:1
10.9%
0:0
10.5%
2:1
8.1%
2:0
7.8%
1:2
6.9%
0:2
5.6%
2:2
4.2%
3:1
3.3%
3:0
3.1%
1:3
2.4%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | KV Mechelen Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 40% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.5 |
| Market Odds | 2.66 |
Team Comparison
| KV Mechelen | Anderlecht | |
|---|---|---|
| 5 | League Position | 6 |
| 24 | Points | 22 |
| 39% | Win % | 39% |
| 1.29 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.45 |
| 1.23 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.39 |
Venue Form
KV Mechelen at Home
W1
D1
L3
(5 games)
Anderlecht Away
W1
D1
L1
(3 games)
Recent Form
KV Mechelen
L
D
W
L
L
Anderlecht
D
L
W