1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ
xG Home
1.28
xG Away
1.32
Over 2.5 Goals
48%
BTTS
53%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives KV Mechelen an expected 1.3 goals and Anderlecht an expected 1.3 goals. KV Mechelen have a 36% win probability, draw stands at 26%, and Anderlecht at 38%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 52%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
12.6%
0:1
9.8%
1:0
9.5%
1:2
8.3%
2:1
8%
0:0
7.4%
0:2
6.5%
2:0
6.1%
2:2
5.3%
1:3
3.7%
3:1
3.4%
0:3
2.9%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Anderlecht Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 38% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.63 |
| Market Odds | 2.8 |
Team Comparison
| KV Mechelen | Anderlecht | |
|---|---|---|
| 6 | League Position | 4 |
| 29 | Points | 33 |
| 33% | Win % | 38% |
| 1.2 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.48 |
| 1.53 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.55 |
Venue Form
KV Mechelen at Home
W1
D1
L3
(5 games)
Anderlecht Away
W1
D1
L1
(3 games)
Recent Form
KV Mechelen
L
D
W
L
L
Anderlecht
D
L
W
