1
28%
Home Win
3.58
X
32%
Draw
3.15
2
40%
Away Win
2.48
xG Home
0.82
xG Away
1.06
Over 2.5 Goals
29%
BTTS
37%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Kocaelispor FK an expected 0.8 goals and Samsunspor an expected 1.1 goals. Kocaelispor FK have a 28% win probability, draw stands at 32%, and Samsunspor at 40%. The most likely exact scoreline is 0–1. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 71%.
Correct Score Predictions
0:1
16.1%
0:0
15.3%
1:1
13.3%
1:0
12.6%
0:2
8.5%
1:2
7%
2:1
5.5%
2:0
5.2%
0:3
3%
2:2
2.9%
1:3
2.5%
3:1
1.5%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Samsunspor Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 40% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.5 |
| Market Odds | 2.66 |
Team Comparison
| Kocaelispor FK | Samsunspor | |
|---|---|---|
| 11 | League Position | 7 |
| 37 | Points | 51 |
| 26% | Win % | 38% |
| 0.76 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.35 |
| 1.12 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.32 |
Venue Form
Kocaelispor FK at Home
W0
D1
L1
(2 games)
Samsunspor Away
W2
D0
L1
(3 games)
Recent Form
Kocaelispor FK
L
D
Samsunspor
L
W
W
