1
41%
Home Win
2.44
X
34%
Draw
2.98
2
25%
Away Win
3.92
xG Home
0.99
xG Away
0.71
Over 2.5 Goals
24%
BTTS
32%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Kocaelispor FK an expected 1.0 goals and Fatih Karagümrük an expected 0.7 goals. Kocaelispor FK have a 41% win probability, draw stands at 34%, and Fatih Karagümrük at 25%. The most likely exact scoreline is 0–0. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 76%.
Correct Score Predictions
0:0
18.3%
1:0
18.1%
0:1
13%
1:1
12.8%
2:0
8.9%
2:1
6.4%
0:2
4.6%
1:2
4.6%
3:0
2.9%
2:2
2.3%
3:1
2.1%
0:3
1.1%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Kocaelispor FK Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 41% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.44 |
| Market Odds | 2.59 |
Team Comparison
| Kocaelispor FK | Fatih Karagümrük | |
|---|---|---|
| 11 | League Position | 17 |
| 37 | Points | 30 |
| 26% | Win % | 24% |
| 0.76 | Avg Goals Scored | 0.91 |
| 1.12 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.59 |
Venue Form
Kocaelispor FK at Home
W1
D1
L1
(3 games)
Fatih Karagümrük Away
W1
D1
L0
(2 games)
Recent Form
Kocaelispor FK
W
L
D
Fatih Karagümrük
W
D
