Japan vs Indonesia Prediction

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1 – 1
Most Likely Score
Mon, 11 Jan 2027 · Asian Cup
1 47%
Home Win 2.12
X 25%
Draw 4.06
2 28%
Away Win 3.54
xG Home 1.61
xG Away 1.19
Over 2.5 Goals 53%
BTTS 56%

Our Prediction

Our Poisson distribution model gives Japan an expected 1.6 goals and Indonesia an expected 1.2 goals. Japan have a 47% win probability, draw stands at 25%, and Indonesia at 28%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 53%.

Correct Score Predictions

1:1 11.6%
1:0 9.7%
2:1 9.4%
2:0 7.9%
0:1 7.2%
1:2 6.9%
0:0 6%
2:2 5.6%
3:1 5%
0:2 4.3%
3:0 4.2%
3:2 3%

Detailed Analysis

Best Pick Japan Win
Probability 50%
Predicted Odds 2
Market Odds 2.13

Head to Head

10 Jun 2025 World Cup - Qualification Asia
Japan 6 : 0 Indonesia
W
15 Nov 2024 World Cup - Qualification Asia
Indonesia 0 : 4 Japan
W
24 Jan 2024 Asian Cup
Japan 3 : 1 Indonesia
W