Jamaica vs Guatemala Prediction

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0 – 1
Most Likely Score
Tue, 17 Jun 2025 · CONCACAF Gold Cup
1 16%
Home Win 6.25
X 23%
Draw 4.31
2 61%
Away Win 1.65
xG Home 0.76
xG Away 1.74
Over 2.5 Goals 46%
BTTS 44%

Our Prediction

Our Poisson distribution model gives Jamaica an expected 0.8 goals and Guatemala an expected 1.7 goals. Jamaica have a 16% win probability, draw stands at 23%, and Guatemala at 61%. The most likely exact scoreline is 0–1. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 54%.

Correct Score Predictions

0:1 14.2%
0:2 12.4%
1:1 10.8%
1:2 9.5%
0:0 8.2%
0:3 7.2%
1:0 6.2%
1:3 5.5%
2:1 4.1%
2:2 3.6%
0:4 3.1%
1:4 2.4%

Detailed Analysis

Best Pick Jamaica Win
Probability 50%
Predicted Odds 2
Market Odds 2.13

Team Comparison

Jamaica Guatemala
3 League Position 2
3 Points 6
33% Win % 67%
1 Avg Goals Scored 1.33
2 Avg Goals Conceded 1

Head to Head

10 Jun 2025 World Cup - Qualification CONCACAF
Jamaica 3 : 0 Guatemala
W
12 Nov 2023 Friendlies
Guatemala 0 : 0 Jamaica
D
09 Jul 2023 CONCACAF Gold Cup
Guatemala 0 : 1 Jamaica
W