1
93%
Home Win
1.07
X
4%
Draw
28.33
2
1%
Away Win
100
xG Home
4.11
xG Away
0.35
Over 2.5 Goals
80%
BTTS
29%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Italy an expected 4.1 goals and Turkey an expected 0.4 goals. Italy have a 93% win probability, draw stands at 4%, and Turkey at 1%. The most likely exact scoreline is 4–0. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 80%.
Correct Score Predictions
4:0
13.7%
3:0
13.3%
2:0
9.7%
4:1
4.8%
1:0
4.7%
3:1
4.7%
2:1
3.4%
1:1
1.7%
0:0
1.1%
4:2
0.9%
3:2
0.8%
2:2
0.6%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Italy Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 93% |
| Predicted Odds | 1.08 |
| Market Odds | 1.14 |
Team Comparison
| Italy | Turkey | |
|---|---|---|
| 3 | League Position | 4 |
| 4 | Points | 0 |
| 33% | Win % | 0% |
| 1.67 | Avg Goals Scored | 0.33 |
| 1.33 | Avg Goals Conceded | 2.67 |
Venue Form
Italy at Home
W0
D0
L1
(1 games)
Recent Form
Italy
L
