1
58%
Home Win
1.72
X
22%
Draw
4.55
2
20%
Away Win
5.03
xG Home
1.92
xG Away
1.03
Over 2.5 Goals
57%
BTTS
55%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Inter Miami an expected 1.9 goals and FC Porto an expected 1.0 goals. Inter Miami have a 58% win probability, draw stands at 22%, and FC Porto at 20%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 57%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
10.4%
1:0
10.1%
2:1
9.9%
2:0
9.7%
3:1
6.4%
3:0
6.2%
0:1
5.4%
1:2
5.3%
0:0
5.2%
2:2
5.1%
3:2
3.3%
4:1
3.1%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Inter Miami Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 33% |
| Predicted Odds | 3.03 |
| Market Odds | 3.22 |
Team Comparison
| Inter Miami | FC Porto | |
|---|---|---|
| 2 | League Position | 3 |
| 5 | Points | 2 |
| 33% | Win % | 0% |
| 1.33 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.67 |
| 1 | Avg Goals Conceded | 2 |