1
18%
Home Win
5.61
X
20%
Draw
5.1
2
63%
Away Win
1.6
xG Home
1.10
xG Away
2.21
Over 2.5 Goals
64%
BTTS
59%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives IF Elfsborg an expected 1.1 goals and Hammarby FF an expected 2.2 goals. IF Elfsborg have a 18% win probability, draw stands at 20%, and Hammarby FF at 63%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–2. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 64%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:2
9.8%
0:2
8.9%
1:1
8.9%
0:1
8.1%
1:3
7.2%
0:3
6.6%
2:2
5.4%
2:1
4.9%
1:0
4%
1:4
4%
2:3
4%
0:0
3.6%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Hammarby FF Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 63% |
| Predicted Odds | 1.59 |
| Market Odds | 1.69 |
Team Comparison
| IF Elfsborg | Hammarby FF | |
|---|---|---|
| 8 | League Position | 2 |
| 40 | Points | 62 |
| 40% | Win % | 63% |
| 1.5 | Avg Goals Scored | 2 |
| 1.7 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.97 |
Venue Form
IF Elfsborg at Home
W3
D2
L0
(5 games)
Hammarby FF Away
W1
D1
L1
(3 games)
Recent Form
IF Elfsborg
D
W
D
W
W
Hammarby FF
L
W
D
