1
64%
Home Win
1.56
X
28%
Draw
3.61
2
8%
Away Win
12.41
xG Home
1.36
xG Away
0.30
Over 2.5 Goals
23%
BTTS
19%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Honduras an expected 1.4 goals and El Salvador an expected 0.3 goals. Honduras have a 64% win probability, draw stands at 28%, and El Salvador at 8%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–0. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 77%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:0
25.9%
0:0
19.1%
2:0
17.5%
3:0
7.9%
1:1
7.8%
0:1
5.7%
2:1
5.3%
4:0
2.7%
3:1
2.4%
1:2
1.2%
0:2
0.9%
4:1
0.8%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | El Salvador Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 45% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.22 |
| Market Odds | 2.36 |
Team Comparison
| Honduras | El Salvador | |
|---|---|---|
| 2 | League Position | 4 |
| 6 | Points | 1 |
| 67% | Win % | 0% |
| 1.33 | Avg Goals Scored | 0 |
| 2.33 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.33 |
Head to Head
El Salvador
1 : 1
Honduras
D
El Salvador
0 : 1
Honduras
W