1
18%
Home Win
5.68
X
48%
Draw
2.08
2
34%
Away Win
2.92
xG Home
0.34
xG Away
0.58
Over 2.5 Goals
7%
BTTS
13%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Haiti an expected 0.3 goals and Saudi Arabia an expected 0.6 goals. Haiti have a 18% win probability, draw stands at 48%, and Saudi Arabia at 34%. The most likely exact scoreline is 0–0. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 93%.
Correct Score Predictions
0:0
39.9%
0:1
23.2%
1:0
13.5%
1:1
7.8%
0:2
6.7%
2:0
2.3%
1:2
2.3%
2:1
1.3%
0:3
1.3%
1:3
0.4%
2:2
0.4%
3:0
0.3%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Haiti Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 33% |
| Predicted Odds | 3.03 |
| Market Odds | 3.22 |
Team Comparison
| Haiti | Saudi Arabia | |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | League Position | 2 |
| 1 | Points | 4 |
| 0% | Win % | 33% |
| 0.67 | Avg Goals Scored | 0.67 |
| 1.33 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.67 |