1
54%
Home Win
1.86
X
23%
Draw
4.35
2
23%
Away Win
4.32
xG Home
1.82
xG Away
1.11
Over 2.5 Goals
56%
BTTS
56%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Groningen an expected 1.8 goals and Fortuna Sittard an expected 1.1 goals. Groningen have a 54% win probability, draw stands at 23%, and Fortuna Sittard at 23%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 56%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
10.8%
2:1
9.8%
1:0
9.7%
2:0
8.8%
1:2
6%
0:1
6%
3:1
5.9%
2:2
5.5%
0:0
5.4%
3:0
5.3%
0:2
3.3%
3:2
3.3%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Groningen Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 54% |
| Predicted Odds | 1.85 |
| Market Odds | 1.97 |
Team Comparison
| Groningen | Fortuna Sittard | |
|---|---|---|
| 9 | League Position | 11 |
| 48 | Points | 39 |
| 41% | Win % | 32% |
| 1.44 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.44 |
| 1.32 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.85 |
Venue Form
Groningen at Home
W1
D0
L1
(2 games)
Fortuna Sittard Away
W0
D0
L2
(2 games)
Recent Form
Groningen
W
L
Fortuna Sittard
L
L