1X2 model fair odds · Bookmaker prices may differ
xG Home
1.41
xG Away
1.24
Over 2.5 Goals
49%
BTTS
54%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Gent an expected 1.4 goals and Anderlecht an expected 1.2 goals. Gent have a 41% win probability, draw stands at 26%, and Anderlecht at 33%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–1. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 51%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:1
12.4%
1:0
10%
0:1
8.8%
2:1
8.7%
1:2
7.6%
0:0
7.1%
2:0
7%
0:2
5.4%
2:2
5.4%
3:1
4.1%
3:0
3.3%
1:3
3.1%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Gent Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 41% |
| Predicted Odds | 2.44 |
| Market Odds | 2.59 |
Team Comparison
| Gent | Anderlecht | |
|---|---|---|
| 5 | League Position | 4 |
| 29 | Points | 33 |
| 33% | Win % | 38% |
| 1.33 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.48 |
| 1.43 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.55 |
Venue Form
Gent at Home
W1
D4
L1
(6 games)
Anderlecht Away
W1
D1
L1
(3 games)
Recent Form
Gent
W
D
D
D
L
Anderlecht
D
L
W
