1
51%
Home Win
1.96
X
30%
Draw
3.34
2
19%
Away Win
5.23
xG Home
1.24
xG Away
0.64
Over 2.5 Goals
29%
BTTS
34%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Gangwon FC an expected 1.2 goals and Incheon United an expected 0.6 goals. Gangwon FC have a 51% win probability, draw stands at 30%, and Incheon United at 19%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–0. Under 2.5 goals is the lean at 71%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:0
18.9%
0:0
15.2%
1:1
12.1%
2:0
11.8%
0:1
9.7%
2:1
7.5%
3:0
4.9%
1:2
3.9%
3:1
3.1%
0:2
3.1%
2:2
2.4%
4:0
1.5%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Gangwon FC Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 51% |
| Predicted Odds | 1.96 |
| Market Odds | 2.09 |
Team Comparison
| Gangwon FC | Incheon United | |
|---|---|---|
| 2 | League Position | 7 |
| 32 | Points | 27 |
| 42% | Win % | 42% |
| 1.26 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.26 |
| 0.63 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.05 |
Venue Form
Gangwon FC at Home
W1
D1
L1
(3 games)
Incheon United Away
W1
D0
L3
(4 games)
Recent Form
Gangwon FC
L
D
W
Incheon United
L
L
W
L