1
23%
Home Win
4.39
X
21%
Draw
4.74
2
56%
Away Win
1.78
xG Home
1.26
xG Away
2.07
Over 2.5 Goals
65%
BTTS
63%
Our Prediction
Our Poisson distribution model gives Galatasaray an expected 1.3 goals and Barcelona an expected 2.1 goals. Galatasaray have a 23% win probability, draw stands at 21%, and Barcelona at 56%. The most likely exact scoreline is 1–2. Over 2.5 goals looks likely at 65%.
Correct Score Predictions
1:2
9.7%
1:1
9.3%
0:2
7.7%
0:1
7.4%
1:3
6.7%
2:2
6.1%
2:1
5.9%
0:3
5.3%
1:0
4.5%
2:3
4.2%
0:0
3.6%
1:4
3.5%
Detailed Analysis
| Best Pick | Barcelona Win |
|---|---|
| Probability | 56% |
| Predicted Odds | 1.79 |
| Market Odds | 1.9 |
Team Comparison
| Galatasaray | Barcelona | |
|---|---|---|
| 20 | League Position | 5 |
| 10 | Points | 16 |
| 38% | Win % | 63% |
| 1.13 | Avg Goals Scored | 2.75 |
| 1.38 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.75 |
